Unfortunately for Texas Longhorns fans, football is winding down and there are only 2 regular season games left.
The bowl season for most teams, in my opinion, is a springboard into the final push for 2013 recruits and positive momentum into the 2013 season. Now, that doesn’t mean a loss hurts a team but it is the last time you see that team for 9 months. Perception is huge in college football and your bowl game performance plays a huge factor in preseason rankings and perceived strength of the 2013 team.
So, where do the Longhorns go bowling and what effects would a win or a loss would do for the Longhorns?
Likelihood of happening: 2%
What a win would mean:
That Texas could be in the hunt for a conference and national title in 2013.
What a loss would mean:
That the Longhorns have more work to do to get back on top.
Likelihood of happening: 60%
If the Longhorns don’t make a BCS bowl, the Cotton Bowl will select either Oklahoma or Texas. If Oklahoma is selected by a BCS bowl, which is likely, the Longhorns might play Texas A&M in Arlington.
What a win would mean?
The Longhorns retain their top spot in Texas and send the Aggies to a loss after a great season.
What a loss would mean?
Besides the fact that Aggies would never shut up about beating Texas, but it could make recruits that were uncertain about A&M jump on board with the Aggies. Even if the stories that come out that the Longhorns would decline a bowl invite are true, could you blame them? There is nothing for the Longhorns to gain and a lot to lose.
Likelihood of happening: 35%
The Alamo Bowl is the second best option here and they will get the third selection in the bowl bid process. The likely PAC 12 opponent would be USC as they have tumbled out of the Top 25 or Stanford. My guess is that if the Alamo Bowl gets the chance to pick Texas and USC, they won’t pass that up.
What a win could mean?
More national discussion as a darkhorse for a national title.
What a loss could mean?
If it’s to USC, the heat will turn up on Mack Brown even more. USC is just a decent team this year, nothing special. So, to lose to them would really damper expectations on the 2013 season and that would be bad for Mack.