Dec 1, 2012; Manhattan, KS, USA; Texas Longhorns wide receiver Jaxon Shipley (8) scores a touchdown during the first half against the Kansas State Wildcats at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Game Prediction: Alamo Bowl

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The previews are completed and it’s now Gameday in San Antonio, Texas. So who will win the Alamo Bowl?

When Texas has the ball

Oregon State’s defense is ranked 31st in the country. Texas has had trouble against good defenses and Oregon State is very good at stopping both the run and the pass. David Ash hasn’t seen any game action since Thanksgiving and with Case McCoy out for this game, it’s all on Ash. He has to shine. At this point, I have to take Oregon State.

Advantage: Oregon State

When Oregon State has the ball

To have two really good wide receivers is something special for any team. The problem is they can’t figure out who to start at quarterback. Texas defense has played pretty well since the Kansas game and half of the points scored against the defense in the Kansas State game were off of turnovers and 14 points were from drives starting in the red zone. I think with the improvement on defense that the Longhorns have been making, I think they have the advantage here.

Advantage: Texas

Prediction

This is a huge game for the Texas Longhorns in the Alamo Bowl. The Longhorns were 8-2 after a victory against the Iowa State Cyclones and had a chance to win the Big 12. Now the Longhorns are staring at an 8-5 record, identical to the 2011 record. After the Holiday Bowl, David Ash spoke to the crowd and told them that he knew that this wasn’t the expectation for Longhorn fans. That fans expected to be in a BCS bowl and that’s what they were working toward. That didn’t happen.

Mack Brown mentioned at the end of last season that the Longhorns were 6-2 and didn’t finish. He told the media that he wanted his team to focus on finishing the season strong. The Longhorns were 8-2 but if they lose this game, it will be 3 straight losses and another 8-5 season. At that point, how can any Texas Longhorn fan have faith that Mack Brown has any control of this football program? I won’t even get into the alleged sexual assault but this is a game the Longhorns need, but I don’t feel that confident about it.

Texas wins 34-31 (Confidence points: 5) 

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