Texas Football – 2017 Predicted Record Revealed!

Sep 4, 2016; Austin, TX, USA; Texas Longhorns helmet on the field before the game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 4, 2016; Austin, TX, USA; Texas Longhorns helmet on the field before the game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports /
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We all want to know how Texas Football will fare in 2017 under new head coach Tom Herman.

Now, we have scientific facts to help predict how the first Texas Football season for Tom Herman will turn out.

According to college football analyst and games predictor Adam McClintock (@cfb_professor), Texas Football will finish with the following record in 2017:

  • 10-2 Overall
  • 8-1 in the Big 12 Conference

That sounds pretty stunning for a Texas squad that finished with seven losses the previous three seasons, right?

But, according to the analytics presented by McClintock, Texas Football should experience a complete turnaround from the last three seasons.

As we discussed on Monday and Tuesday, the key factors are head coach Tom Herman and defensive coordinator Todd Orlando.

Herman is listed as the #1 ranked productive head coach in college football with an A+ coaching grade. Meanwhile, DC Orlando also has an A+ coaching grade.

The result is Texas predicted to finish with the second-best record in the Big 12 conference in 2017.

Texas Football Season Breakdown

The analytical breakdown of Texas’ 2017 season includes predictions for each game on the schedule.

Texas is predicted to lose two games: USC on the road in September and Oklahoma on a neutral field in Dallas in October.

There are two toss-up games where the database predicts a score within seven points. Both of those games – at Baylor and at TCU in back-to-back weeks – are predicted to lean toward Texas.

Here is the full breakdown of the 2017 Texas Football Schedule (bold indicates predicted win and italics indicates predicted loss):

  • Maryland (1-0 record for Texas)
  • San Jose St. (2-0)
  • USC (2-1)
  • Iowa State (3-1)
  • Kansas (4-1)
  • Oklahoma (4-2)
  • Ok. State (5-2)
  • Baylor (6-2)
  • TCU (7-2)
  • Kansas (8-2)
  • West Virginia (9-2)
  • Texas Tech (10-2)

Of course, the database cannot predict injuries or other factors that might alter the course of the 2017 Texas Football season. But, if all elements hold true, then Texas should finish with a 10-2 overall record and 8-1 conference record.

What does that mean for the returning Big 12 Title game?

Texas vs. Oklahoma Rematch in Arlington?

The database is essentially predicting a Big 12 Title rematch between Texas and Oklahoma in December at AT&T Stadium in Arlington.

Oklahoma is predicted to finish with an 11-1 overall record and 9-0 undefeated conference record. If Texas were 8-1 in the conference with their lone loss being against Oklahoma, then it would set up a rematch between the two best teams in the conference.

How big would Texas vs. OU be for the conference? It would help cover for the drawback of bringing back the conference title game, which is that the Big 12 created a repeat game since every Big 12 team plays each other during the regular season.

But, a “repeat game” turns into a “huge rematch” if it’s Texas vs. Oklahoma. Of course, the winner of the regular season matchup wants nothing to do with a rematch since it would cancel out the full-year bragging rights that the winner enjoys until the next meeting at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.

All of this is interesting to think about since you figure that UT and OU will meet at some point in a conference title game. Maybe it’s this year, two years from now, or in five years if both teams are still part of the conference and if the Big 12 has not expanded.

Next: Tom Herman Best Coach in College Football?

Right now, Tom Herman just wants to get Texas Football back on track after a dismal stretch for the Horns. A 10-2 record, 8-1 in the conference, and two shots at Oklahoma sounds pretty good for Year One.

We’ll keep digging into the analytics during our Countdown to the 2017 Texas Football Spring Game, which takes place Saturday afternoon in Austin.