Texas football vs. Iowa State: Prediction and odds Week 7

Steve Sarkisian, Matt Campbell, Texas football
Steve Sarkisian, Matt Campbell, Texas football /

On Oct. 15, Texas football will continue the “Revenge Tour” against head coach Matt Campbell and the Iowa State Cyclones. Texas will be looking to extend its winning streak to three games against a very solid opponent defensively in Iowa State.

Head coach Steve Sarkisian and the Longhorns come into this matchup against Iowa State sporting a record of 4-2 (2-1 Big 12) following the dominant 49-0 win in the Red River Rivalry game on Oct. 8 over the Oklahoma Sooners. Texas has now won two straight games over Oklahoma (Oct. 8) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (Oct. 15).

Meanwhile, Iowa State comes into this contest sporting a record of 3-3 (0-3 Big 12) following a tough 10-9 loss at home on Oct. 8 against the Kansas State Wildcats. Iowa State has now lost three straight games at the outset of the Big 12 slate by a combined margin of 11 points.

Campbell and the Cyclones have played a lot of close games this season. In fact, the last two games for Iowa State saw this team fall short by a combined margin of just four points.

Here’s a look at the betting odds and game prediction as Texas gets set to host Iowa State at home at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin on Oct. 15, with the kickoff time set for 11 a.m. CT.

Texas football vs. Iowa State: Odds for Week 7

Texas is a 15.5-point favorite over Iowa State in this game and the over/under is set at 49.5 points (per FanDuel). The spread has moved one point in Texas’ favor since the line opened up with the Longhorns at -14.5.

The moneyline favors Texas (-850) over Iowa State (+570) by a considerable margin.

According to the ESPN Football Power Index, Texas has an 88.9 percent chance of beating Iowa State.

Texas football vs. Iowa State prediction

Getting redshirt freshman quarterback Quinn Ewers back was obviously a massive difference-maker for the Longhorns in the 49-point demolition of the Sooners last weekend. Ewers picked up right where he left off against the Alabama Crimson Tide before he left that game with a sprained clavicle on Sep. 10.

We also saw big games from the likes of sophomore tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders, redshirt junior wide receiver Jordan Whittington, star junior running back Bijan Robinson, and senior running back Roschon Johnson, among others. This offense definitely came alive in a notable way in the last two weeks.

But Texas will be tested against a defense of the caliber they have yet to face in Big 12 play so far this fall. Iowa State leads the Big 12 this season in scoring defense (13.7 points per game, good for eighth in the FBS) and yards allowed per game (277.5, good for 11th in the FBS).

In the last two weeks, the Cyclones have allowed just 24 points combined against some solid opposition in the Kansas schools.

Next. 5 reasons why Texas can win the Big 12 after demolishing OU. dark

Despite Iowa State having such a solid defense, I think Texas just has too much working in its favor in this game. The offense was firing on all cylinders against Oklahoma and the defense is playing much better. Add in that Texas returns to the friendly confines of DKR this weekend, I find it hard to see Iowa State putting the Horns on upset alert.

Final score prediction: Texas-28, Iowa State-17