Texas football vs. Kansas State: Prediction and odds Week 10

Jordan Whittington, Texas football Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports
Jordan Whittington, Texas football Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports /

Heading into Week 10, head coach Steve Sarkisian and No. 24 ranked Texas football could take advantage of the bye week in a primetime Big 12 showdown against head coach Chris Klieman and the No. 13 ranked Kansas State Wildcats on Nov. 5. Texas could use a bounce-back performance to snap the road losing streak under Sark this weekend.

Sark and the Longhorns come into this high-stakes matchup against Kansas State with a record of 5-3 (3-2 Big 12) coming out of the bye week. The last game prior to the bye week for Texas resulted in a 41-34 loss on the road at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater to head coach Mike Gundy and the Oklahoma State Cowboys on Oct. 22.

Meanwhile, Kansas State comes into this game with a record of 6-2 (4-1 Big 12) following a blowout win over Oklahoma State in Manhattan on Oct. 29, by the final score of 48-0. Kansas State made Oklahoma State look like the punching bag of college football with one of the most surprising results of any top-25 game so far this season.

Here’s a look at the betting odds and game prediction as Texas gets set to hit the road to face Kansas State on Nov. 5 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, with the kickoff time set for 6 p.m. CT.

Texas football vs. Kansas State: Odds for Week 10

Texas is a 2.5-point favorite over Kansas State in this game (per FanDuel). And the over/under is set at 54.5 points.

The moneyline also favors Texas (-138) over Kansas State (+115).

The spread has moved in Texas’ favor by one point per FanDuel Sportsbook since the opening odds earlier in the week.

According to the ESPN Football Power Index, Texas has a 61.9 percent chance to beat Kansas State.

Texas vs. Kansas State prediction

This is a tough game to predict since Texas will be facing a hot Kansas State team in a raucous road environment in Manhattan under the lights in primetime. Given the struggles that Sark and the Longhorns have faced in road games in the last two seasons, there is some cause for concern heading into this game.

On the positive end of things, Texas did have the bye week to prepare and get right to face this tough Kansas State team on the road. the bye week came at a good time so that Texas could get healthier and reset in practice following the loss to the Pokes a couple of weeks ago.

Texas also matches up well on paper with Kansas State. In fact, Texas matches up much better on paper on both sides of the ball with Kansas State than it did Oklahoma State. From that perspective, Texas fans should be optimistic about this matchup.

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As long as Texas can keep this one close in the first half and set the tone with a strong ground game behind star junior running back Bijan Robinson, I don’t think the second-half woes will linger as much this weekend. Redshirt freshman quarterback Quinn Ewers also needs a big response to give Texas a shot to win on the road.

Final score prediction: Texas-33, Kansas State-31