Texas football vs. Washington: Prediction and odds Alamo Bowl

Quinn Ewers, Texas football (Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images)
Quinn Ewers, Texas football (Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images) /

To round out the 2022 season, head coach Steve Sarkisian and No. 20 ranked Texas football will battle the No. 12 ranked Washington Huskies and first-year head coach Kalen DeBoer in the Alamo Bowl. Texas can nearly double its win total from last season if it comes out on top against Washington later this week.

Sark and the Longhorns come into the Alamo Bowl with a record of 8-4 (6-3 Big 12) following a 38-27 win at home in the regular season finale over the Baylor Bears on Nov. 25. Texas has won two straight games heading into the postseason.

Meanwhile, Washington comes into the Alamo Bowl with a record of 10-2 (7-2 PAC-12) following a 51-33 win in the Apple Cup on Nov. 26 over the Washington State Cougars. Washington has won six straight games heading into the postseason.

Here’s a look at the betting odds and game prediction as Texas gets set to face Washington in the Alamo Bowl at the Alamodome in San Antonio, TX, on Dec. 29, with the kickoff time set for 8 p.m. CT.

Texas football vs. Washington: Betting odds for Alamo Bowl

Texas is a 3.5-point favorite over Washington and the over/under is set at 66.5 (per FanDuel).

The moneyline narrowly favors Texas (-176) over Washington (+146).

According to the ESPN Football Power Index, Texas has a 75.0 percent chance of beating Washington.

Texas vs. Washington prediction

The absence of the trio of All-American junior running back Bijan Robinson, senior running back Roschon Johnson, and senior linebacker DeMarvion Overshown is something that we’ve talked about ad nauseam for the Longhorns in the postseason. I mention this because if Bijan was playing in this game, I’d favor Texas by a pretty comfortable margin.

But his absence changes the outlook of this game at least a little bit for Texas. Redshirt freshman quarterback Quinn Ewers and redshirt freshman running back Jonathon Brooks must be effective for this offense to get the job done. And junior All-American linebacker Jaylan Ford must have a big game to lead this defense that had a resurgent regular season as one of the best units in the Big 12.

Moreover, Washington presents a very formidable challenge for the Longhorns. Washington boasts the national leader in passing yards (Michael Penix Jr.), a stout offensive line, and a deep receiving corps. Washington’s air attack might be the best that Texas has faced this season.

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On paper, this looks like a good matchup for the Longhorns. They have the speed advantage in space and the defense should be able to at least limit the effectiveness of Washington’s high-powered passing attack. The uncertainty lies with Ewers’ performance while taking on an increased workload in the absence of Bijan and Roschon.

Final score prediction: Texas-30, Washington-27