Texas football opens as two-score favorite vs. TCU in Week 11

The stretch run of the final three games of the 2023 regular season begins for No. 7 Texas football on the road against head coach Sonny Dykes and the TCU Horned Frogs on Nov. 11. Texas can stay atop the Big 12 standings and remain alive in the race for a spot in the College Football Playoff with a win over TCU in Fort Worth this weekend.

While none of the wins were easy, head coach Steve Sarkisian and the Longhorns come Week 11 having won three straight games. Texas barely survived in overtime last weekend at home at DKR in Austin against the No. 23 Kansas State Wildcats. The Longhorns downed Kansas State in overtime 33-30 on Nov. 4.

Texas also beat the Houston Cougars in a close one on the road in Week 8, 31-24, and the BYU Cougars at home convincingly in Week 9, 35-9, during this three-game winning streak.

Dykes and the Horned Frogs are headed in the opposite direction as the Longhorns this season. The defending Big 12 regular season champs and reigning College Football Playoff National Championship runner-up was hampered this season by heavy roster turnover at key positions on offense and losing its starting quarterback to injury early in conference play.

The Frogs enter Week 11 with a record of 4-5 (2-4 Big 12) after a tough loss on the road in Lubbock against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in a weekday matchup on Nov. 2. TCU has already lost over twice as many games as it did all of last season.

Here’s a look at the opening betting odds as No. 7 Texas travels to Fort Worth on Nov. 11 to face TCU at Amon G. Carter Stadium, with the kickoff time set for 6:30 p.m. CT.

Texas football vs. TCU: Opening odds for Week 11

Texas opens as a 10.0-point favorite over TCU in Week 11 (per Caesars Sportsbook). The over/under opens up at 54.0 points.

According to the ESPN matchup predictor, Texas has a 77.3 percent chance of beating TCU.

Texas is 4-4-1 against the spread this season. The Longhorns hit the -3.0 spread pre-game with the three-point win over Kansas State last weekend. Texas is 2-1-0 against the spread in road games this season.

TCU is 3-6-0 against the spread this season. The Frogs haven’t covered the spread in two consecutive games and four of the last five. TCU is 2-3-0 against the spread this season as the home team.