Texas football vs. Texas Tech: Prediction and odds Week 13

Keilan Robinson, Jordan Whittington, Texas football (Photo by Josh Hedges/Getty Images)
Keilan Robinson, Jordan Whittington, Texas football (Photo by Josh Hedges/Getty Images) /

In a little under 24 hours, No. 7 Texas football and the Texas Tech Red Raiders will kick off the regular season finale at DKR in Austin. For one final time, Texas and Texas Tech will meet on the gridiron as Big 12 foes before head coach Steve Sarkisian’s squad leaves for the SEC in 2024.

A win for the Longhorns in rivalry week against Texas Tech would lock up a spot for Texas in the Big 12 Championship Game next week in Arlington, TX, at AT&T Stadium. It would also keep the Longhorns firmly in the conversation for a spot in the College Football Playoff.

Texas (10-1, 7-1 Big 12) enters the regular season finale on Black Friday, having won five in a row since the Red River Rivalry game on Oct. 7 against the Oklahoma Sooners.

Texas Tech has also found more success in the win column recently, entering the regular season finale with a record of 6-5 (5-3 Big 12). Head coach Joey McGuire and the Red Raiders have won three games in a row.

Here’s a look at the betting odds and game prediction as No. 7 Texas hosts Texas Tech at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin on Nov. 24, with the kickoff time set for 6:30 p.m. CT.

Texas football vs. Texas Tech: Odds for Week 13 2023

Texas is a 13.5-point favorite against Texas Tech in this game, and the over/under is set at 53.5 points (per Caesars Sportsbook).

The spread has moved back to the 13.5-point line it opened at in favor of the Longhorns for Week 13.

According to the ESPN matchup predictor, Texas has an 86.3 percent chance of beating Texas Tech in Week 13.

Texas football vs. Texas Tech prediction

Both teams have plenty of motivation entering this matchup on Black Friday in primetime at DKR. Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormark gave the Longhorns bulletin board material when he said to a group of Texas Tech boosters a few months ago that they “better take care of business in Austin”.

Yormark will be in attendance for the Texas-Texas Tech game on Nov. 24.

Texas is also looking to avenge its close overtime loss to Texas Tech in Lubbock last season. It would feel great for the Longhorns to leave the Big 12 this regular season with a win over the Red Raiders.

Texas Tech would also love to send the Longhorns to the SEC with a loss and by playing spoiler for Texas’ Big 12 title hopes and College Football Playoff chances.

Texas has most of the matchup advantages on paper in this game. But Texas Tech is an above-average squad in the Big 12, with a quality running back in standout senior Tahj Brooks and a good defense.

Texas should be able to take care of business this week against Texas Tech. But this game won’t come easy for the Longhorns.

Final score prediction: Texas-31, Texas Tech-21

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