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Texas Longhorns final odds and prediction for Week 3 vs. UTSA Roadrunners

The third game of the season is here, and the No. 1 Horns are unsurprisingly favored.
BySam Fariss
Sep 12, 2026; Austin, Texas, USA;  Texas Longhorns defensive end Colin Simmons
Sep 12, 2026; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns defensive end Colin Simmons | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

It should come as no surprise that the No. 1 Texas Longhorns are favored, once again, over their opponent as they prepare to take on the UTSA Roadrunners.

Also read: Texas vs. UTSA injury report: Latest on Derrek Cooper and Nick Townsend's game status

Despite UTSA's 2-0 start to the season, the Roadrunners simply aren't expected to mount much of a front against the Horns. Texas is projected to walk away with another big-time win to improve to a 3-0 overall record of its own.

Texas Longhorns vs. UTSA Roadrunners odds, spread, and total

Oddsmakers in Vegas expect the Longhorns to walk away with a win by 30.5 points, drubbing a UTSA defense that has only allowed 21.0 points per game so far this season.

  • Spread: -30.5 Texas, +30.5 UTSA
  • Moneyline: -10,000 Texas, +2,200 UTSA
  • Over/Under: +/-58.5 points

With the moneyline set at -10,000 for Texas, it means one would have to bet $10,000 to profit $100 on a Longhorn victory. Alternatively, one could profit $2,200 on a $100 bet on the Roadrunners if they pulled off the upset win.

Oddsmakers also set the point total at 58.5 points, which sets the projected score around 45-14, in the Horns' favor.

Odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Texas Longhorns vs. UTSA Roadrunners - Week 3 prediction

While the Roadrunners haven't given up a ton of points so far this season, they have had an extremely difficult time stopping the run, allowing the Texas State Bobcats to earn 289 rushing yards last weekend.

That means Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian should lean into his incredibly talented running back room, highlighted by Hollywood Smothers and Raleek Brown, as well as the return of freshman Derrek Cooper.

It could also mean that quarterback Arch Manning unlocks his running abilities that we have not seen much of so far this season.

On the defensive end, the Horns need to prepare to go up against an Air Raid offense, with UTSA quarterback Owen McCowen throwing up 42 pass attempts last week. However, Texas's defensive line should be able to pressure the quarterback with relative ease.

Final score prediction: Texas 42, UTSA 10

I expect the Horns to hit just under their projected point total, likely rotating in second- and third-string players once they have built a big enough lead to ensure the roster's health heading into SEC play the following weekend.

With the win, Texas would improve to 3-0 on the season and 51-20 since Sarkisian took over the program in 2021.

After hosting the Roadrunners, the Longhorns are scheduled to kick off confernce play with a road trip to Knoxville to play the Tennessee Volunteers in Week 4.

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