The buzz around Arch Manning is already deafening, with expectations in Austin climbing by the day. But beyond the hype lies the real conversation — quarterback development, execution, and whether Manning is ready to leap from promising starter to program-defining QB. As Texas eyes a return to the national spotlight, all signs point toward one truth: 2026 belongs to Manning. Let’s break down what matters most heading into the season.
2025 stats: By the numbers
Manning closed the 2025 season with:
- 3,163 passing yards
- 26 passing touchdowns
- 7 interceptions
- 10 rushing touchdowns
- 1 receiving touchdown
The season wasn’t flawless — but it didn’t need to be. What stood out most was resilience. Through adversity, pressure moments, and growing pains, Manning never lost command of the offense. That trait separates talented quarterbacks from championship ones.
Why Arch Manning is still underrated nationally
According to Pro Football Focus, Manning currently sits tied for 10th among returning quarterbacks based on passing grade. That ranking feels conservative. Quarterback evaluation should prioritize trajectory and recent film, not past production tied to different systems or programs.
Manning’s growth over the back half of 2025 alone suggests he belongs higher — and there are multiple names ahead of him that don’t match his ceiling or momentum.
The 2026 Jump: What Arch Manning must improve
For Manning, the next step isn’t reinvention — it’s refinement.
Mechanical Growth
- Improved lower-half drive to consistently generate power.
- Maintaining a relaxed but closed front shoulder.
- Cleaner throwing lanes and tighter ball placement.
Mental Growth
The mental foundation is already there:
- Full command of the scheme.
- Trust in his reads.
- Chemistry with skill players.
Now it’s about eliminating hesitation.
The elite quarterbacks don’t second-guess — they react. Trusting first instincts will reduce sacks, limit unnecessary hits, and allow Manning to control games rather than survive them.
Heisman watch: Close, but not yet
Is Manning a Heisman Trophy contender right now? Historically speaking — probably not yet. But the tools are undeniable. If Manning opens 2026 with the same authority he showed late last season, the conversation will change fast. The Heisman isn’t awarded on hype or potential. It’s earned through week-to-week dominance. Manning has the ability — now it’s about sustaining it.
Closing thought: Pressure creates greatness
What should excite Texas fans most is how Manning finished 2025. The confidence was visible, and the production backed it up. Now, he knows the assignment. Don’t overlook the quarterback room either — competition will be real, with talent capable of pushing Manning every day. Internal pressure has a way of producing elite results. If Manning embraces it, 2026 won’t be just another season in Austin. It could be the year Texas follows its quarterback — straight back into the national spotlight.