We're about 9 days away from Texas' first SEC game against the Florida Gators, and it's possible that Vegas is "sleeping" on the Longhorns and their capabilities. Yes, Texas hasn't looked the best so far in 2025, but they look a whole lot better than Florida does.
Not only is D.J. Lagway currently injured, though there's a chance that he could play, the Gator offense has looked incredibly dysfunctional throughout the first four games of the season. Billy Napier's offense is only averaging 11 points per game and producing 287.3 yards per game right now, which are both in the bottom 15 in all of college football.
According to Fanduel.com, the spread for the game is currently Texas -7.5, and that's about 2-3 points less than it probably should be. For as "bad" as Arch Manning and the Longhorns' offense was over the first few games, their numbers are still ranked in the top third of most important categories.
Texas' defense is also lightyears better than Florida's as well, especially against the run, where DC Pete Kwiatkowski's squad is limiting opposing ball-carriers to 2.1 yards per carry in 2025. This should be a lot more lopsided of a game than what Vegas is making it out to be with the current spread.
Unless Arch Manning completely forgets how to play football on October 4th, and Billy Napier miraculously becomes a good play caller, this game really shouldn't be that close. It's plausible to think that this Longhorns defense won't give up more than 10 points to the Gators' offense, so it's really just up to Steve Sarkisian and Co. to put up points on offense in week 6.
It would honestly be surprising to see this game get closer than 10-14 points at any time throughout the game as long as Texas stays motivated and shows up offensively in Gainesville.