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Week 4 AP Top 25 prediction: Texas's rockiness could have Horns falling from No. 1

The Longhorns don't own the No. 1 ranking outright yet.
BySam Fariss
Raleek Brown, Texas v Tennessee
Raleek Brown, Texas v Tennessee | Roger Wimmer/ISI Photos/GettyImages

The No. 1 Texas Longhorns secured their second ranked win of the season, and it was their first on the road and first against an SEC opponent.

However, it was yet another rocky performance by the Horns on offense, something that simply won't be sustainable as the rest of conference play unfolds.

So, with four (technically five) weeks of the season now in the rearview mirror, did Texas do enough to maintain its top spot in the AP Top 25 Poll? Or will the Longhorns drop a couple of spots as other top teams continue to easily dominate their opponents?

Projecting the AP Top 25 Poll after Week 4

With five ranked matchups this weekend, we were bound to see a lot of motion in the polls, but only a couple of teams will drop beyond the top-25 rankings.

25. Michigan Wolverines (3-1)
24. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1)
23. Houston Cougars (3-1)
22. Kentucky Wildcats (3-1)
21. SMU Mustangs (3-1)

No. 18 Michigan lost on an actual Hail Mary completion to send them to 3-1 on the season and send the Iowa Hawkeyes climbing in the rankings. Then, No. 19 Missouri lost to a team ranked below them, the No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs, so they will almost certainly fall out of the top 25.

20. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1)
19. Tennessee Volunteers (3-1)
18. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0)
17. Houston Cougars (3-1)
16. USC Trojans (3-1)

The Nittany Lions and the Trojans also both suffered their first losses of the season, but because of where they stood in the poll heading into Week 4, they will most likely remain in the top 25 with their now-blemished records (just like Tennessee).

15. Oregon Ducks (3-1)
14. Iowa Hawkeyes (4-0)
13. Utah Utes (4-0)
12. Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-0)
11. LSU Tigers (3-1)

Despite defeating the ranked Aggies, a win over the No. 23 team won't be enough to keep the one-loss LSU Tigers in the top 10.

The Cougars didn't take the field in Week 4, but their undefeated record will keep them in the top 10, even with the Florida Gators likely making a jump into the top of the rankings.

The Rebels were just a week off their emotional win over LSU and former head coach Lane Kiffin, but their momentum didn't carry into The Swamp as they lost to the Florida Gators on the road.

The reasons they aren't dropping out of the top 10 are because of the ranked win over the Tigers and the fact that star running back Kewan Lacy was missing from the lineup against UF.

The Gators are going to fly up the rankings. Jon Sumrall has transformed the team back into a powerhouse, and their win over the No. 4 Ole Miss Rebels should undeniably send them into the top 10; they just aren't going to leapfrog any of the undefeated teams already in that top group.

In a game that usually comes down to the final possession, the Crimson Tide cruised past the South Carolina Gamecocks, giving Alabama their second conference win of the season. While they continue to start a little slowly, once they get the ball rolling, it has been impossible to stop the Tide.

Ohio State just walloped the Illinois Fighting Illini in their conference opener, and the win will have the Buckeyes creeping back toward the top five of the rankings, but they aren't there quite yet.

Similar to Texas, the Indiana Hoosiers looked shaky as they played a below-average Northwestern team. While the defending National Champions secured the win, they will likely stay at No. 5, even with a ton of movement happening around them.

Despite letting Central Michigan get on the board first, the Miami Hurricanes blew past the Chippewas to improve to 4-0 on the year. And with two conference wins already to their name, the Canes are well deserving of their top-four ranking.

The Irish cruised to yet another victory with a 39-point win over the Purdue Boilermakers. It was their third Power Conference opponent of the season, but Notre Dame still has yet to face a true quality opponent, so they're stuck at No. 3 in the rankings for now.

While the Horns secured their second top-15 win of the season, it's hard to argue that they truly earned it with how sloppily they played on Saturday.

Yes, it's another ranked win in the books, but at some point, the AP voters are going to start questioning if Texas truly deserves to be the top team in college football, and that very likely could happen after the Week 4 debacle.

While the Longhorns have struggled to earn their wins, the Georgia Bulldogs have steamrolled their opponents, and their latest victim was none other than the Oklahoma Sooners.

OU is far from the team everyone expected it to be this season, but it was still a quality 28-point win for UGA, and the Dawgs now undeniably have an argument for the No. 1 spot in the rankings.

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