Texas football vs. Texas Tech: Prediction and odds for Week 4

Hudson Card, Texas football Mandatory Credit: John Gutierrez-USA TODAY Sports
Hudson Card, Texas football Mandatory Credit: John Gutierrez-USA TODAY Sports /

The week of the Big 12 opener is upon us, where No. 22 ranked Texas football is set to face the Texas Tech Red Raiders on the road on Sep. 24. This weekend will also present the first road game of the regular season for Texas and head coach Steve Sarkisian.

Texas comes into this meeting with Texas Tech with a record of 2-1 (0-0 Big 12) after the convincing 41-20 win over head coach Jeff Traylor and the UTSA Roadrunners at home on Sep. 17. Sark and the Longhorns also have a win over the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and a loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide under their belt this season.

Meanwhile, Texas Tech comes into this game sporting a record of 2-1 (0-0 Big 12) after the double-digit road loss to the No. 16 NC State Wolfpack on Sep. 17. Texas Tech’s two wins on the season came over the Houston Cougars and FCS Murray State Racers.

Here’s a look at the up to date betting odds and game prediction as Texas hits the road to face Texas Tech on the road for the Big 12 opener at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, with the kickoff time set for 2:30 p.m. CT on Sep. 24. This game is also set to be televised on ESPN.

Texas football vs Texas Tech: Odds for Week 4

Texas is a 6.5-point favorite over Texas Tech in this game. And the over under is set at 59.5 points (per Fanduel).

This is a shift in Texas’ favor as the Horns opened up originally as a 4.5-point favorite a couple of days ago.

The moneyline also favors Texas (-260) to outright win this contest over Texas Tech (+210).

Texas football vs. Texas Tech: Prediction for Week 4

According to the ESPN Football Power Index, Texas has an 80.5 percent chance to win this game over Texas Tech.

Texas is clearly at least a slight favorite in this one. But this is definitely still a spot where the Longhorns could be put on upset alert. Texas is facing a hungry Texas Tech team in an environment that can be difficult to play in Lubbock.

Texas Tech has a better than expected defensive line and an athletic but inconsistent quarterback in Donovan Smith that should make this game pretty entertaining and gritty.

Meanwhile, the Longhorns at least have a chance to get redshirt freshman quarterback Quinn Ewers back from the clavicle sprain he suffered a couple of weeks ago. Ewers returned to practice on Sep. 19 for the first time since injuring his non-throwing shoulder against the Tide.

But there isn’t any concrete proof of who QB1 will be against Tech this weekend between Ewers and junior Hudson Card.

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This should be a much closer game than was played between Texas and Texas Tech last season, when the Longhorns hung a 70-spot on the Red Raiders. But I still believe Texas has enough to get out of Lubbock with a win this weekend thanks to an improved defense and the tendency of Smith to make some untimely mistakes so far this season.

Final score prediction: Texas-37, Texas Tech-31