Just ahead of the first release of the College Football Playoff rankings on Nov. 5, we've got our updated predictions for the inaugural 12-team bracket this postseason. We're starting to close in on the final selection of the 12-team field for the first expanded College Football Playoff bracket, showing the importance of the final few weeks of the regular season for the rest of November.
Post-Week 10 2024 College Football Playoff Predictions ahead of the first CFP rankings release on Tuesday
Week 10 of the 2024 season brought a surprising number of upsets, including multiple ranked teams falling to unranked foes in the Big 12, SEC, ACC, and Big Ten. The conference championship pictures were altered in quite a few major conference standings this weekend.
Here's a look at the updated 12-team College Football Playoff bracket predictions after some exciting finishes and upsets among ranked teams in the P4 in Week 10.
Rank | Team | Why are they here | Previous rank |
|---|---|---|---|
1 | Oregon | Big Ten Champion | 1 (--) |
2 | Georgia | SEC Champion | 2 (--) |
3 | Miami | ACC Champion | NA |
4 | BYU | Big 12 Champion | 4 (--) |
5 | Ohio State | At-Large | 7 (+2) |
6 | Texas | At-Large | 6 (--) |
7 | Indiana | At-Large | 8 (+1) |
8 | Tennessee | At-Large | 10 (+2) |
9 | Penn State | At-Large | 5 (-4) |
10 | Notre Dame | At-Large | 11 (+1) |
11 | SMU | At-Large | NA |
12 | Boise State | Highest-Rated G5 Conference Champion | 12 (--) |
The two teams that fell out of this week's CFP rankings projection are the Clemson Tigers and Texas A&M Aggies. Both Clemson and Texas A&M fell to unranked foes by double digits as pregame betting odds favorites in Week 10.
Due to a home loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes, the Penn State Nittany Lions was the only team that fell multiple spots inside this week's CFP rankings projection. The 20-13 win over Penn State also moved the Buckeyes up two spots to the top at-large spot in the CFP rankings.
The Miami Hurricanes was the only re-entry into the CFP rankings this week. It's hard to ignore Miami's 93 percent chance of making the CFP (per ESPN's Allstate Playoff predictor), and the possibility of winning the ACC Championship given the manageable schedule for the Canes for the rest of the month of November.
The only first-time entrant team into this week's CFP rankings is the SMU Mustangs. SMU blew out the No. 18 Pitt Panthers by over three scores this weekend in a huge win for head coach Rhett Lashlee's squad at home in Dallas in Week 10.
For the first time this season, the Big Ten gets the most teams into the 12-team CFP over the SEC. Texas football, Tennessee, and Georgia are the three SEC teams getting into the Playoff with this projection.
The three teams on the outside looking in for this week's CFP rankings are the Ole Miss Rebels, LSU Tigers, and Alabama Crimson Tide (in order from top to bottom).