2024 Week 14 12-team College Football Playoff rankings prediction

The clear field of one and two-loss teams that could make the 12-team College Football Playoff is becoming much clearer in the final weeks of the 2024 regular season.
Colin Simmons, Texas football
Colin Simmons, Texas football / Sara Diggins/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
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Entering the final full week of the 2024 regular season, the time for the 12-team College Football Playoff bracket to be set is quickly approaching. Another big weekend of upsets and surprising results around the SEC, Big Ten, and Big 12, has shaken up the CFP 12-team rankings after Week 13.

Over the weekend, the Florida Gators upset the No. 9 Ole Miss Rebels in a decisive 24-17 victory at The Swamp in Gainesville. Potentially the biggest upset of Week 13 was the No. 7 Alabama Crimson Tide falling to the Oklahoma Sooners in a massive 24-3 win for the home team in Norman.

Post-Week 13 2024 College Football Playoff Predictions narrow in on final group of 12 teams

Other ranked teams that fell to underdog foes over the weekend in the P4 conferences were the No. 14 BYU Cougars (lost to No. 21 Arizona State), No. 15 Texas A&M Aggies (lost to Auburn), and No. 16 Colorado Buffaloes (lost to Kansas).

Here's a look at the updated 12-team College Football Playoff bracket predictions, entering the final stretch run of the regular season after Week 13.

Rank

Team

Why are they here

Previous rank

1

Oregon

Big Ten Champion

1 (--)

2

Texas

SEC Champion

2 (--)

3

SMU

ACC Champion

3 (--)

4

Boise State

Highest-Rated G5 Conference Champion

4 (--)

5

Ohio State

At-Large

5 (--)

6

Georgia

At-Large

8 (+2)

7

Penn State

At-Large

9 (+2)

8

Notre Dame

At-Large

11 (+3)

9

Tennessee

At-Large

NA

10

Indiana

At-Large

6 (-4)

11

Miami

At-Large

NA

12

Iowa State

Big 12 Champion

NA

Ole Miss, Alabama, and Colorado all fell out of this week's 12-team College Football Playoff bracket projections after each team was upset by unranked foes in Week 13. The Tide and Rebels both have three losses in the regular season, likely eliminating each other from Playoff contention (barring something crazy happening in the final couple of weeks before the postseason).

Kansas's win over Colorado in Lawrence last weekend has moved the Iowa State Cyclones back into the projected Big 12 Champion slot in the CFP rankings.

The other four conference champion spots in this week's CFP 12-team projections remain the same, with the No. 1 Oregon Ducks and No. 3 Texas football leading the way as the projected Big Ten and SEC champions, respectively.

The three teams that re-entered the Playoff projections this week are the No. 6 Georgia Bulldogs, No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers, and No. 8 Miami Hurricanes after all the chaos that transpired around the SEC in Week 13.

Georgia, Penn State, and Notre Dame were the biggest risers in this week's CFP rankings. Penn State moved up thanks to losses to other highly-ranked P4 teams over the weekend, despite the Nittany Lions barely surviving an upset bid from the unranked Minnesota Golden Gophers on Nov. 23.

Notre Dame had an impressive win over a ranked squad last weekend, topping the No. 19 Army Black Knights at home by a score of 49-14.

Indiana is the biggest faller in this week's CFP 12-team bracket projections after the Hoosiers suffered a convincing double-digit loss on the road against the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes on the road. ESPN's Allstate playoff predictor gives Indiana a 98 percent chance of making the Playoff despite sustaining its first loss of the regular season last week.

The three teams on the outside looking in are the No. 12 Clemson Tigers, No. 13 Alabama, and No. 15 Ole Miss.

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