Week 6 is in the books, and now all eyes turn to one of college football’s biggest stages — the Red River Rivalry. On October 11, 2025, Texas (3-2, 0-1 SEC) takes on No. 6 Oklahoma (5-0, 1-0 SEC) in a crucial conference matchup, and the stakes couldn’t be higher for Steve Sarkisian and company. Here’s a breakdown of the Oklahoma defense — and the blueprint Arch Manning will need to follow to keep Texas in the fight.
The defense
Every defensive unit has its strengths and weaknesses, and for Oklahoma, it all starts up front. Through five games, the Sooners’ defensive line has been dominant, racking up 21 sacks and helping the defense allow just 8.3 points per game. That kind of production speaks for itself — they win at the line of scrimmage.
Where they’ve shown vulnerability, however, is in the turnover department. They don’t consistently force takeaways, and that could open a window for Texas to attack through the air — if they execute. The key word there is execute. The offensive line can’t afford another sluggish performance like we’ve seen over the last five games. This Oklahoma front is hungry, confident, and ready to hand out another conference loss if Texas isn’t prepared to match their intensity.
The blueprint
The Florida game wasn’t Manning’s sharpest performance, but there were flashes of growth — signs that he’s starting to settle into his role. Heading into the Red River Rivalry, he’ll need to take another step forward. From a quarterback’s perspective, here are my keys to victory for Manning and the Longhorns:
Mobility: If there’s ever a game where Manning’s athleticism needs to shine, it’s this one against the Sooners. He can’t afford to take unnecessary sacks — those drive killers will put Texas behind schedule and force them to play catch-up. Manning needs to extend plays, move the pocket, and take what the defense gives him. Positive yards are better than stalled possessions.
Decision-making: Every move Manning makes has to be intentional. This isn’t the week for risky throws or forcing plays that aren’t there. He must stay clock-aware, adjust protections when needed, and have the discipline to throw it away when the play breaks down. Smart football wins big games.
Getting the ball out: Against Florida, there were moments when open receivers were left waiting. That can’t happen on Saturday. Manning needs to trust his reads and deliver the football decisively. The Texas offense works best when the ball is moving — and it starts with the quarterback pulling the trigger with confidence.
Final thoughts
The Red River Rivalry adds another chapter to its storied history — the 121st edition. For Manning, this is his chance to quiet the noise and show that he can lead Texas when the pressure is at its peak. Oklahoma’s defense is as disciplined and disruptive as any in college football, but Texas has the firepower to counterpunch if they can execute. It all comes down to protecting up front, getting the ball out to playmakers, and using his legs when the situation demands it. If Manning can check those three boxes, Texas will give itself the best shot to pull off the upset and gain momentum for the stretch run.
Prediction: Oklahoma 24, Texas 17